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Monday, July 5, 2021

UP Assembly Election 2022: Yogi Adityanath

UP Assembly Election 2022: Yogi Adityanath

New Delhi: After the results of the district panchayat elections in Uttar Pradesh, UP Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath said in a statement that Asaduddin Owaisi is a great leader of the country and BJP workers accept his challenge.  In fact AIMIM president Asaduddin Owaisi came across a video in which he was saying that Yogi will not be allowed to become CM in UP this time.  Accepting Owaisi's challenge, Yogi Adityanath said the BJP would win more than 300 seats in UP.

 The political conclusion of the yogi's statement?
 The statement by UP CM Yogi Adityanath came at a time when Asaduddin Owaisi's party has announced to contest 100 assembly seats in UP and Owaisi is constantly questioning the SP-Congress in UP.

Owaisi can harm SP
 Owaisi is raising the issue of participation of Muslims in UP.  Currently, the Muslim vote bank in UP is said to be with the Samajwadi Party.  The SP is claiming that only the Samajwadi Party will face the BJP in 2022.  But Owaisi is looking for its own political base in UP.  If Owaisi contests 100 seats, the SP's votebank could suffer, with the BJP directly benefiting.

 BJP wants Owaisi to be a topic of discussion in UP
 Many political stalwarts in UP are looking at Yogi's statement as the BJP's election strategy.  Yogi said Owaisi is a great leader of the country.  This statement of the yogi may increase the acceptance of Owaisi among the Muslims and perhaps this is why the yogi also accepted the challenge of Owaisi.  If Owaisi goes to the polls with full force in UP, the Muslim vote of the SP may fall apart.  The BJP is also preparing to take advantage of this.  Therefore, all the big and small leaders of the BJP are currently attacking Owaisi, so that Owaisi remains a topic of discussion in UP.

 Owaisi could not boil anything in Bengal
 Opposition has repeatedly said that AIMIM's contest in the Bihar Assembly elections has cost Tejaswi Yadav several seats.  Due to which BJP-JDU government was formed in Bihar.  However, Bihar Bagh Owaisi did not have much success in Bengal.  West Bengal's Muslim voters unilaterally sided with Mamata Banerjee.  It was only due to the unilateral polarization of Muslim votes that Mamata Banerjee was able to form an absolute majority government in Bengal.

 BSP and Congress excluded from the fight this time?
 After West Bengal, if the Muslims of UP come together with the Samajwadi Party, the victory of the SP in many seats will be easier.  Especially in the eastern region.  Because after Bengal, it is believed that Muslim voters will vote for the same party that will see the BJP defeated.  Currently in UP, only the Samajwadi Party is seen fighting the BJP in every seat.  The BSP and the Congress are looking away from the fight this time.  If Owaisi contests in 100 seats, he will field candidates from UP's Muslim-majority seats and most of Owaisi's candidates could be Muslims.  In such a scenario, will Owaisi be able to harm the SP's Muslim vote bank?  This is a big question.  While SP thinks that they will get all the votes of BJP opposition.  Because they are mainly in opposition to the BJP just like in Bengal.

 In 2017, AIMIM also contested several seats in the elections
 AIMIM contested assembly elections in Muslim-majority areas like Moradabad, Sambhal, Amroha, Bijnor, Kairana, Saharanpur in western UP.  The SP lost the Moradabad coast assembly seat and the BJP won.  The biggest reason behind this was the votes received by AIMIM.  In the 2017 assembly elections, the AIMIM candidate got 22908 votes from the Moradabad coast assembly seat.  While this seat was lost by SP by only 3000 votes.  That is, it would have been difficult for the BJP to win if the AIMIM candidate had not got so many votes.  In Sambhal, AIMIM got the highest number of 59,336 votes but the seat was won by SP's Iqbal Mahmood.

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